Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather near Guilford

New HavenUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

7 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 13 September 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 7th strongest of the 30 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 11:43AM EDT until September 13 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA

An estimated 1,461,654 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 11 June 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence82%
Coordinates41.3022, -72.7023
Nearest CityGuilford (2 km)
Population Exposed1.5M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-13T15:43:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.0f0a8350035294dbe4f4129b14df4162b5e25e00.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescBristol, MA; Plymouth, MA; Bristol, MA; Bristol, RI; Kent, RI; Newport, RI; Providence, RI; Washington, RI; Fairfield, CT and 4 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 11:43AM EDT until September 13 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Expires2026-09-13T14:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Boston/Norton MA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount7
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f0a8350035294dbe4f4129b14df4162b5e25e00.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9ef98b854d555ea1e3c6fc1a06198fd33db3c078.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07522d38e3eea70c93af855500adb2bc58b750d1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c7c8561550bb254a2772b422f298f8379ffcb086.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c953ea8a53b73a57f81c195feec7890a7fec62df.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dd526c76516ea33fecf42574450164c148b4e937.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4fb361e8e5bd4f92767dd285bfa1c5ecbdf36a23.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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